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  • Articles of interest to health actuaries in the North American Actuarial Journal
    STRUCTURAL SUTSE MODEL: AN APPLICATION TO BRAZILIAN ANNUITY PLANS César Neves, Cristiano Fernandes and Álvaro ... information of a related population for which longer mortality time series exist. The state space model proposed ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan
    • Date: May 2016
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: Health Watch
    • Topics: Demography>Longevity; Health & Disability>Health insurance; Predictive Analytics
  • Smaller Consulting Firm Section, October 2004, Issue No. 6
    least for any actuary belonging to a recognized U.S. actuarial organization. l It’s good practice. Like ... a Project Team: Legal Issues to Watch by David S. Rintoul 16 Insurance Entrepreneur: David Florian ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan, John West Hadley, David C Hart, David C Florian, David S Rintoul
    • Date: Oct 2004
    • Publication Name: The Independent Consultant
  • Measurement of Healthcare Quality and Efficiency: Resources for Healthcare Professionals - Inventory of Programs and Organizations
    Measurement ... Performance Health System National Scorecard on U.S. Health System Performance Performance Ratin ... Incentive/Reward Programs PQ PE HQ HE 126. U.S. News & World Report America’s Best Hospitals ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan, Greger J Vigen, Sheryl Coughlin
    • Date: Jan 2010
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health care quality; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
  • Measurement of Healthcare Quality and Efficiency: Resources for Healthcare Professionals Updated
    Measurement ... Actuaries, All Rights Reserved 4 of 64 Table of Contents Section 1 Executive Summary ... Health System The healthcare system in the U.S. is vast, complex, and far-reaching. It represents ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan, Greger J Vigen, Sheryl Coughlin
    • Date: Jan 2010
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health care quality; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
  • Understanding the Economicsof Disease ManagementPrograms
    Economics of Disease Management Programs by Ian Duncan A s managed care and health insuranceorganizations struggle ... that an event that resulted in a 2.5 percent mortality rate in the county of Los Angles would likely ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan
    • Date: Aug 2003
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Health Watch
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health care
  • Critical Review of Stochastic Simulation Literature and Applications for Health Actuaries
    However, a recent call for proposals for modeling mortality and lapse risks in life insurance shows an expanded ... of simulation model, multi-state, dynamic life-table models (of which the PopMod model used by Lauer ...

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    • Authors: Louise H Anderson, Ian G Duncan, Katherine Hall, Brian C Martinson
    • Date: Sep 2007
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance
    • Topics: Enterprise Risk Management; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Dynamic simulation models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Markov Chain; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
  • An Actuarial Method for Evaluating Disease Management Outcomes
    example below, we apply the data assembled in the table above. The avoided admissions (equal to measured ... of Actuaries; or Dove, H., I. G. Duncan, and A. S. Robb. 2003. A Prediction Model for Targeting Low-Cost ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan
    • Date: Mar 2005
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Chronic health management - Health & Disability
  • Designing your Nontraditional Product from Start to Finish: Matching Underwriting to Experience
    Designing your Nontraditional Product from Start to Finish: Matching Underwriting to Experience ... of segmentation and underwriting on expected mortality and morbidity. Panelists discuss the importance ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan, Michelle Moloney, Van Beach, George Stadtlander
    • Date: Jun 2004
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance; Life Insurance
  • Paper 5: Evaluating Disease Management Savings Outcomes
    Paper ... Table 1 shows a simple application of a randomized control design: 4 Table 1: Application ... Consider the following example shown in Table 2. Table 2: Application of Actuarial Adjustment to ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan
    • Date: Oct 2005
    • Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Topics: Health & Disability>Health care
  • Does the SOA Need a Continuing Professional Development Requirement?
    Does the SOA Need a Continuing Professional Development Requirement? An actuary presents ... actuaries primarily on principle and the requirement's economic implications. Another actuary presents rebuttal ...

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    • Authors: Ian G Duncan, Kathleen Wong
    • Date: Nov 2007